I reviewed this thread as I copied the above posts into it from another thread today.....
I have gotten a few PMs and texts lately that seem to be overly concerned about the fall run...

When will it start?
will it be as robust this year as last year?,,,,
will there be differences based on the damage and repurcussions from Sandy?...
Will the fish hold in an area, or move down the coast quickly?

So I thought I would answer in this thread...
In my experience, every year is certainly different....

But if you keep a log, there are some patterns that seem to hold year after year.
Some may be weeks different from the year before because of seasonal weather or temperature patterns.
Some may be different because of different bait migrational patterns.

Some may be different because of storm or severe weather patterns....
In some area, a severe storm, and new or full moon blowout tides can clear more than half the bait out of an area.....









** These are only my experiences....and they may not be the same as others...
There are a lot of great anglers here as members,,,,,,,,your feedback and observations have helped make this site what it is....

Feel free to add to this thread when necessary...I'm sure our junior members could learn a lot from your perspectives......